Losing 6 Spins in a Row at 1.1x
The chance of 6 losing spins in a row at 1.1x on the Wheel is 3.61 × 10-3%, or 1 in 27,681. At 1.1x a single spin loses 18.18% of the time.
The odds of 6 losses in a row
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Chance of one loss at 1.1x | 18.18% |
| Chance of 6 losses in a row, starting from a given spin | 3.61 × 10-3% |
| Odds | 1 in 27,681 |
| Spins to wait for it, on average | 33,831 |
| Chance it happens at least once in 100 spins | 0.2811% |
| Chance it happens at least once in 500 spins | 1.453% |
| Chance it happens at least once in 1,000 spins | 2.899% |
| Chance it happens at least once in 10,000 spins | 25.58% |
| Stake lost across the streak (1 per spin) | 6 |
| Stake a double-after-every-loss plan would need to survive it | 63 |
The average wait counts spins until the first run of 6 losses is completed. It is an average over many players, and any individual can see it on their first 6 spins or never. The "at least once" figures are exact: they account for a run starting on any spin, not just the first.
What it means
A streak of 6 losses has a probability of 18.18% to the power of 6, which is 3.61 × 10-3%. It is rare for any one run of 6 spins, but it does not stay rare if you keep going: across 500 spins the chance that it appears at least once is 1.453%.
The next spin is not owed a win. After 5 losses the chance of a win on the next spin is still exactly 81.82%. The wheel has no memory, and a fresh provably fair roll is generated for each spin. Believing a win is overdue is the gambler's fallacy, and it is the most common reason stakes grow during a bad run.
Doubling after a loss does not fix it. Doubling the stake until a win needs 26 − 1 times your first stake to survive 6 losses in a row, and a table limit or an empty balance ends the plan well before the maths evens out. The 10% house edge applies to every stake in the plan, so betting more does not change the expected loss per unit staked.
Related
- 5 losses in a row at 1.1x
- 7 losses in a row at 1.1x
- Every losing streak at 1.1x
- The 1.1x multiplier in full
- 6 losses in a row at 1.2x
- 6 losses in a row at 1.25x
- 6 losses in a row at 1.3x
- 6 losses in a row at 1.4x
- 6 losses in a row at 1.5x